Heading into the offseason, the Cincinnati Reds were poised to bolster their lineup of young, promising talent by adding a veteran bat. They sought someone with a proven track record and consistent performance. Despite having a crowded infield, most fans expected them to focus on outfielders to complement their roster.
However, the Reds surprised many by signing Jeimer Candelario, a corner infielder, to a three-year, $45 million contract.
Candelario’s hitting ability was seen as a good fit for the team. As a switch-hitter, his power hitting style was expected to thrive at Great American Ball Park, providing the Reds with reliable offensive production.
Initially, Candelario struggled. A rough start to the season raised doubts among fans about whether the signing would benefit the club. His high strikeout rate and unproductive at-bats contributed to the team’s challenges. However, the 30-year-old has since turned things around.
Since early May, Candelario has posted impressive numbers, batting .289/.327/.553 with nine home runs. He has significantly reduced his strikeout rate to 18.5% and boasts a 140 wRC+. His at-bats have become more competitive, showing more consistency in his swings.
His success, particularly from the left side, has been pivotal. Against right-handed pitchers, Candelario has hit .256/.291/.549 with 11 home runs and 11 doubles this season. Notably, he has hit nine of those home runs and seven doubles since May 1.
Candy HRs from the left side
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— Claiborne Snowden (@Clay_sno) June 17, 2024
As seen in the video above, most of Candelario’s home runs have been pulled rather than hit to the opposite field. His ability to lift and drive the ball is crucial for maximizing his power, and he has been successful in doing so. Approaching the thirty-home run mark for the first time in his career seems quite achievable.
While Candelario may not match the exit velocities of players like Elly De La Cruz, he consistently makes solid contact, evident from his 37.4% launch angle sweet-spot rate. This has transformed many would-be doubles in his Detroit years into home runs, aided by playing at Great American Ball Park.
In baseball, hot and cold streaks tend to balance out over time. Candelario has effectively offset his slow start with a productive stretch, resulting in a 118 wRC+ for the season. By year-end, it’s projected he’ll settle between a 110 and 120 wRC+, precisely what the Reds require.
Given the Reds’ reliance on young players with minimal experience, fluctuations are expected. Although the team boasts a deep lineup when healthy, they needed a consistent offensive contributor. Candelario, as a switch-hitter capable of slotting into the middle of the order and providing stability, fills this role effectively.
While not expected to be a standout star, Candelario’s presence has been undeniably valuable for Cincinnati, particularly given their stretched depth. As Noelvi Marte nears return, Candelario will likely shift between third base, first base, and designated hitter roles, allowing flexibility for Spencer Steer in the outfield or utility positions.
Overall, the Reds’ lineup is aligning more closely with their preseason expectations. Candelario’s continued performance will be pivotal if they aim to push for postseason contention.
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